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Lillie’s Determination SAR: The Grade Is Worth More Than the Card
A PSA 10 costs 2.6× what a PSA 9 does — while ungraded copies sell for the same money as a PSA 9. On this card, almost all the value sits in one grade.
245 PSA 10 sales
TL;DR — the short answer
A PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR (091/063) trades at ¥68,000–72,000 right now, against a lifetime average of ¥77,326 across 245 sales. A PSA 9 averages ¥26,425 — and ungraded copies sell for barely less than that.
- Buy the 10 or buy raw. PSA 9 and ungraded copies overlap on price — the 9 holder captures none of the premium.
- Do not send this one in yourself unless you are confident of a 10. A 9 comes back worth roughly what you paid for the raw card, minus the grading fee.
- Prices are settled. The last eleven sales sat in a ¥4,000 band — this is not a card still finding its level.
Lillie’s Determination · SAR 091/063 · M1L Mega Brave
What each grade actually fetches
Recorded Japanese marketplace sales for this exact card — Lillie’s Determination, Special Art Rare, collector number 091/063, from the M1L Mega Brave expansion.[1]
| Grade | Sales | Average | Low (recent) | High (recent) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 245 | ¥77,326 | ¥67,999 | ¥75,900 |
| PSA 9 | 78 | ¥26,425 | ¥20,980 | ¥23,000 |
| PSA 8 | 7 | ¥24,786 | ¥21,000 | ¥26,500 |
Look at PSA 9 against PSA 8. ¥26,425 versus ¥24,786 — a 7% gap between two grades. Below gem mint, this card stops caring what number is on the label.
A settled price, and a 10% gap to the average
Both grades changed hands in the first week of August. The gem mint copies clustered inside a ¥4,000 band; the PSA 9s sat around a third of that:
| Slab | Sold | Price | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
2026-08-07 | ¥68,900 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-05 | ¥70,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-05 | ¥69,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-05 | ¥69,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-04 | ¥69,500 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-04 | ¥69,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-04 | ¥23,000 | PSA 9 |
 |
2026-08-04 | ¥68,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-04 | ¥22,000 | PSA 9 |
 |
2026-08-02 | ¥22,000 | PSA 9 |
 |
2026-08-02 | ¥72,000 | PSA 10 |
 |
2026-08-01 | ¥69,000 | PSA 10 |
Median of the recent PSA 10 sales: ¥69,250, against a lifetime average of ¥77,326 — today’s buyer pays about 10% less than the headline figure. The ¥9,100 low and ¥105,000 high in the table above are both outliers; the honest working range is ¥68,000–72,000.
Where the price is heading
Median PSA 10 sale price, by day, over the twelve days to 7 August 2026:
| Date | Sales | Median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 | 4 | ¥70,000 | |
| 07-28 | 1 | ¥70,000 | |
| 07-29 | 2 | ¥69,499 | |
| 07-30 | 3 | ¥71,000 | |
| 07-31 | 1 | ¥70,500 | |
| 08-01 | 1 | ¥69,000 | |
| 08-02 | 1 | ¥72,000 | |
| 08-04 | 3 | ¥69,000 | |
| 08-05 | 3 | ¥69,000 | |
| 08-07 | 1 | ¥68,900 |
Twelve days, twenty sales, and the median never leaves ¥68,000–72,000. Start to finish the move is ¥70,000 → ¥68,900 — under 2%. Compare that with a freshly released card, where 15–20% swings inside a week are normal: this one has already found its level.
Why it ran up in the first place
Lillie is one of the most recognised human characters in the franchise, and this is a full-art Trainer — the category collectors chase hardest, because the artwork is the product rather than the game text. Put that on a Special Art Rare pull rate in the M1L Mega Brave expansion and you get the ¥105,000 high sitting in the sales record. What has happened since is simply that supply caught up.
What the data suggests next
- The float is large and known. 245 PSA 10 sales plus 78 PSA 9s means this card has been graded in volume. There is no scarcity shock waiting in the population data.
- Liquidity is steady. Twenty sales in twelve days, near-daily, all inside a ¥4,000 band. Both sides of the market agree on the price.
- The floor has already been tested. The ¥9,100 low in the record is an outlier; nothing in the last twelve days went below ¥68,000.
Why only the 10 is worth paying for
| Step up | Price move | Multiple | Worth it? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw → PSA 9 | ¥20,000 → ¥22,500 | 1.13× | No — the slab costs more than it adds |
| PSA 9 → PSA 10 | ¥22,500 → ¥55,000 | 2.44× | Yes — this is where the entire premium lives |
The sales record says the same thing from the other direction: ¥77,326 / ¥26,425 = 2.93× between the two grades on 323 recorded sales. Live asking prices put it at 2.44×. Two independent measurements, one conclusion.
What follows for a buyer: if you want the artwork on a shelf, buy raw and save the 13%. If you want an asset you can resell, buy the 10 and nothing else. The PSA 9 is the one position with no case for it — you pay the grading premium without receiving it.
Four 10s and two 9s — look at the prices
Six live Mercari listings, all graded and all checked in stock on 2026-09-21 — four PSA 10s and two PSA 9s. Every one of them supports Mercari’s authentication service, so the platform verifies the slab before it ships. Prices are the OneMall landed price in USD with the yen equivalent.
PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
The cheapest gem mint here that also supports Mercari authentication — about ¥55,000 against a recent median of ¥77,326.
PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
Gem mint at about ¥58,000 — below the ¥77,326 recent median, below the ¥67,999–¥75,900 sale range.
PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
Gem mint at about ¥71,000 — at or below the ¥77,326 recent median, inside the ¥67,999–¥75,900 sale range.
PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
Gem mint at about ¥79,797 — above the ¥77,326 recent median, above the ¥67,999–¥75,900 sale range.
PSA 9 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
PSA 9 at about ¥22,500. The record has PSA 9 averaging ¥26,425. The gap to a 10 is where all the money is.
PSA 9 Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063
PSA 9 at about ¥23,000. The record has PSA 9 averaging ¥26,425. The gap to a 10 is where all the money is.
Individual listings sell fast. If one is gone, the full list of Lillie’s Determination SAR copies stays current.
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Check SAR against SR — they are different cards
The SAR is 091/063. There is also an SR at 086/063 from the same set that sells for a fraction of the price, and search results mix the two constantly. If the listing does not state 091, ask.
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Read the grader, not just the number
“10” on a label can mean PSA, ARS or another house. On a card where the 10 carries a 2.6× premium, which company issued that 10 is the whole question.
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Verify the cert
PSA publishes every certificate number; enter it in their lookup and confirm card, set and grade match the photos before committing.[2]
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Judge raw copies on centering
If you are buying ungraded, the photos are all you get. Look at the border widths on all four sides — off-centre is the single most common reason this print comes back a 9 instead of a 10.
Buy it from Japan, delivered to your door
OneMall buys the card on Mercari for you, checks it in at the Japanese warehouse and ships it on. Flat ¥300 proxy fee per order, 90 days of free storage while you consolidate.
Frequently asked questions
How much is a PSA 10 Lillie’s Determination SAR worth?
The last twelve recorded sales ran ¥68,000–72,000, median ¥69,250. The lifetime average across 245 sales is ¥77,326, but that includes earlier, higher prices — budget around ¥70,000 today.
What is the difference between a PSA 10 and an ungraded copy?
Physically, nothing — a PSA 10 is an ordinary card that was submitted for grading and came back flawless. What you pay for is an independent verdict plus a sealed holder:
- Authenticity — PSA confirms the card is genuine and publishes the certificate number, so any buyer can check it.
- Condition, judged not claimed — centering, corners, edges and surface measured against a fixed standard rather than a seller’s word.
- A sealed case — condition cannot degrade in transit or storage, which is why graded cards move across borders so much more easily.
- Price — here a PSA 10 asks about ¥70,000 against ¥20,000 for a raw copy: 3.5× for the verdict.
This card is the clearest possible illustration of why the verdict is the product: a PSA 9 holder — same case, same authentication, one grade lower — adds essentially nothing, with 9s and ungraded copies overlapping on price. It is the 10 that is worth money, not the plastic.
Is a PSA 9 worth buying?
On this card, no. PSA 9s ask ¥22,500–23,000 while ungraded copies sell at ¥20,000–25,900 — the two ranges overlap. Either buy raw and save the difference, or buy the PSA 10, which is where the 2.6× premium actually sits.
Should I get my own copy graded?
Only if you are confident of a 10. There are 78 PSA 9s on record against 245 PSA 10s, so the downside is real: a 9 returns roughly what the raw card cost you, and you are out the grading fee and the turnaround time.
What is the difference between the SAR and the SR?
The SAR is 091/063 — the full-art Special Art Rare this article is about. The SR is 086/063, a different, much cheaper card from the same M1L set. Search results mix them constantly, so always check the collector number.
Can I buy this from outside Japan?
Most of these are individual Mercari Japan sellers who do not ship internationally. A proxy buys on your behalf at a Japanese address and forwards the parcel — that is what the listings above link to.
References
- Recorded Japanese marketplace sales for Lillie’s Determination SAR 091/063 (M1L): 245 PSA 10, 78 PSA 9 and 7 PSA 8 results through 7 August 2026.
- PSA Certificate Verification — psacard.com/cert (accessed August 2026).
- Live listing prices and stock checked on OneMall, 21 September 2026.
Last updated: 2026-09-21. Prices are market references, not quotes.